White Papers
Bag Boys: The Post-Payday Performance Drop in NFL Skill Positions
A data-driven look at whether WRs, RBs, TEs, and QBs decline in performance after signing big contracts — and the front office lessons that follow.
Paper Chasing: Contract-Year Performance Trends in the NFL
An in-depth statistical breakdown of how players across positions perform in their contract years — identifying patterns, incentives, and market inefficiencies.
Y’all Got Any More of Them FAAB Dollars — Waiver Wire Value Index
A quantitative index for ranking waiver pickups by rest-of-season value, blending positional scarcity, schedule strength, and injury risk — plus FAAB bidding guidelines.
Backpackin: Early-Season Workload, Late-Season Decline & Injury Risk
Investigating the “Backpackin” hypothesis — when heavy early-season usage predicts late-season performance drop-offs and higher injury probability, with insights for fantasy managers.